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NFL Week 14 Betting Trends for Every Game, Every Team

As Week 14 kicks off on Thursday night between the Las Vegas Raiders and L.A. Rams, bettors may be curious to know some of the NFL betting trends worth paying attention to.

In tonight’s case, the Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite on the road in L.A, and when Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has been a Vegas favorite of more than a field goal, the results have been spectacularly awful.

Via BetMGM’s John Ewing, Carr is just 1-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in his career as a road favorite of a field goal or more, and has been nearly as bad away from home as well.

As we head into the start of the NFL week, underdogs still hold a 99-85-6 ATS advantage, covering just under 54%. However, favorites had their best week of the season in Week 13, going 13-1-1 SU, and 10-5 ATS (via Dave Tuley).

For betting previews and picks on every Week 14 matchup, visit the BetSided NFL Expert Picks and Predictions page for further analysis, plays, props and more.

Here are our favorite NFL betting trends to consider for every team in action this week:

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 8 – THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends and Odds

Raiders:

Since beginning the season 3-6 ATS, the Raiders have covered in three straight games and are back to .500 ATS on the year. In games where Vegas has been more than a 3-point favorite in 2022, they’re just 1-2 both ATS and straight up (SU).

Rams:

Sean McVay’s Rams are tied with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the fewest wins ATS in the NFL this year, but L.A. has failed to cover by the largest margin in the league. The Rams’ ATS +/- sits at -6.7, a full point worse than the second-worst team, the Indianapolis Colts.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11 – EARLY AFTERNOON SLATE

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Trends and Odds

Jaguars:

Trevor Lawrence has just one win in his career on the road for Jacksonville, going 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS. Jacksonville has also hit the OVER in seven of their last eight games on the road.

Titans:

It’s not quite the domination that the Kansas City Chiefs hold over the Denver Broncos in a divisional rivalry (more on that later), but Tennessee has won 11 of their last 12 games straight up vs. Jacksonville, and via Brandon Anderson, have gone 9-2 ATS in those wins.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Betting Trends and Odds

Vikings:

Despite the odds completely moving away from the Vikings and towards the Lions, Kirk Cousins has been a covering machine in early Sunday afternoon games, going 47-34-2 ATS over his career in Minnesota.

Lions:

Detroit, despite a 5-7 win/loss record, are 8-4 ATS, tied with the Dallas Cowboys and Tennessee Titans for the second-best ATS record in the NFL. Since Dan Campbell arrived at the start of the 2021 season, the Lions are 8-20-1 SU, but 19-10-0 ATS. Only the Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals have more ATS wins in that time frame.

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends and Odds

Texans:

Unlike the aforementioned Lions, the Texans are a bad team that also can’t cover the spread. Since Week 3, NFL betting trends indicate they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games, and face the best covering team in the NFL over the last 30 games in Dallas.

Cowboys:

Via John Ewing, favorites of 17-points or more are 27-2 SU, but are 14-14-1 ATS. However, Dallas has been the second-best best covering team in the NFL both this year (8-4-0 ATS), and since 2021 under Mike McCarthy, going 21-9-0 ATS.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Betting Trends and Odds

Eagles:

Jalen Hurts is a legitimate MVP candidate, closing in on Patrick Mahomes at consensus sportsbooks. But he’ll need to play better away from home to be an MVP in bettors’ eyes this week.

Hurts is 10-4-1 at home ATS, but only 5-11 ATS away from Philadelphia.

Giants:

Will the Daniel Jones ugly home/road ATS splits rear its head this week in a crucial matchup vs. Philadelphia? Jones is 28-21 ATS in his career, but only 12-14 ATS at MetLife Stadium.

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends and Odds

Browns:

Road games have not been kind to the Browns, even during their non-lean seasons. Via Dino K, Cleveland has lost seven of their last eight road games, and are 3-9 away from home since 2021. However, vs. the spread, the Browns have gone 5-4-0 ATS as a road underdog since last season.

Bengals:

Could Joe Burrow and the Bengals be walking into a trap game vs. Cleveland after their huge victory over the Chiefs?

Burrow may own Mahomes and Kansas City, but it’s the Browns that own him. Via Evan Abrams, Burrow is 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Cleveland over his career. No other team in the league has more wins against Burrow than the Browns.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends and Odds

Ravens:

Nobody has more road covers than John Harbaugh. Since coming to Baltimore in 2008, Harbaugh is 40-24-5 ATS as a road dog; covering 62.5% of the games. The only team with better numbers during that time? The L.A. Chargers at 44-23-5 ATS.

Steelers:

Mike Tomlin has not had the same type of success as a home favorite as when his team is a home dog. Since 2007, Tomlin is 55-54-2 ATS when the Steelers are expected to win at home, compared to 15-4-3 ATS when they’re not.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Trends and Odds

Jets:

Nobody has been a better 30 minute covering team this season than the J-E-T-S. New York is 9-3 ATS in the first half this season.

Bills:

Via Evan Abrams, Josh Allen has been the most profitable quarterback to back in the month of December. Since 2020, Allen is 7-2 in his last December games. Happy Holidays.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11 – LATE AFTERNOON SLATE

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Betting Trends and Odds

Chiefs:

With a win over the Broncos, Patrick Mahomes would improve to 15-0 SU vs. AFC West teams on the road in his career. Kansas City is also 7-1 ATS in their last eight games at Denver.

Broncos:

Denver has been one of the worst covering teams in the NFL at 4-8-0, but they’re a league-best 11-1 to the UNDER this season! The last time a Broncos game hit the OVER was back in Week 4 in a 23-32 loss to the Raiders in Vegas.

Carolina Panthers vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends and Odds

Panthers:

Carolina has lost nine games in a row away from home, and only have six total wins on the road since 2020 (6-16-0). However, as a road underdog, Carolina has gone 10-7-0 away from home, covering just under 59% of their games.

Seahawks:

Geno Smith has already tied one of Russell Wilson’s all-time records in Seattle.

Smith has also put himself in a category with both Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers. Via Mike J. Asti, Smith has gone 12 straight games with a completion percentage of 60-plus percent, and a QB rating of over 80!

For what it’s worth, Seattle is 3-2-0 ATS at home, but just 1-2-0 as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends and Odds

Buccaneers:

The Buccaneers have been the worst team in the NFL covering the spread this season at 3-8-1 ATS. However, two of their three covers have come away from home.

49ers:

Historically, Kyle Shanahan has been awful ATS without Jimmy Garoppolo as his starting QB, going 3-8 both SU and ATS as a favorite.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11 – SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends and Odds

Dolphins:

Last week was the first time this season that Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa lost a game straight up in which Tagovailoa played from start to finish. He joins both Jalen Hurts and Taylor Heinicke as the only three NFL starters who only have one SU loss to their record this year.

Chargers:

Poor Justin Herbert. It seems whenever the second half begins, the NFL betting trends suggest he’s doomed to fail in L.A. Herbert, via Evan Abrams, is now 12-30-2 in the second half ATS for his career.

Meanwhile, this teaser stat regarding the two L.A. teams from Ben Fawkes is utterly absurd.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12 – MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends and Odds

Patriots:

Following a loss, since 2003, Bill Belichick is 53-27-1 ATS as head coach of the Patriots; covering 66.3% of those games. Since Tom Brady left for Tampa Bay, Belichick is still good, but nowhere near that same level, going 11-9-1 ATS after a loss.

Cardinals:

Kliff Kingsbury has traditionally been a terrific bet as an underdog, going 23-12-2 ATS since he was hired in 2019. At home, however, the numbers get substantially worse. The Cardinals are just 12-18-0 ATS, and 7-6-0 ATS as a home dog.

Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.



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